Preseason Rankings
Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#162
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.5#84
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#153
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#187
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.0% 14.3% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 55.3% 74.8% 47.7%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 78.0% 61.0%
Conference Champion 11.5% 17.4% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 2.1% 5.7%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round9.9% 14.0% 8.3%
Second Round1.2% 2.0% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 27.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston L 69-75 28%    
  Nov 15, 2019 3   @ Duke L 69-92 2%    
  Nov 17, 2019 54   @ Georgetown L 75-88 13%    
  Nov 22, 2019 277   Prairie View W 81-74 72%    
  Nov 27, 2019 276   Charlotte W 73-64 80%    
  Dec 03, 2019 193   Dartmouth W 76-71 66%    
  Dec 07, 2019 204   @ Mercer L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 19, 2019 135   Texas Arlington W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 21, 2019 156   Texas St. W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 23, 2019 89   @ SMU L 67-75 23%    
  Jan 02, 2020 212   @ Appalachian St. L 80-81 50%    
  Jan 04, 2020 172   @ Coastal Carolina L 76-78 42%    
  Jan 06, 2020 271   @ Arkansas St. W 77-74 61%    
  Jan 09, 2020 202   Louisiana W 83-78 68%    
  Jan 11, 2020 223   Louisiana Monroe W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 16, 2020 138   @ South Alabama L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 18, 2020 297   @ Troy W 76-71 65%    
  Jan 25, 2020 122   @ Georgia Southern L 79-85 30%    
  Jan 30, 2020 138   South Alabama W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 01, 2020 297   Troy W 79-68 81%    
  Feb 06, 2020 202   @ Louisiana L 80-81 48%    
  Feb 08, 2020 223   @ Louisiana Monroe W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 13, 2020 212   Appalachian St. W 83-77 69%    
  Feb 15, 2020 172   Coastal Carolina W 79-75 62%    
  Feb 20, 2020 135   @ Texas Arlington L 69-74 35%    
  Feb 22, 2020 156   @ Texas St. L 68-71 39%    
  Feb 29, 2020 122   Georgia Southern L 81-82 50%    
  Mar 03, 2020 220   Arkansas Little Rock W 79-73 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 3.1 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.1 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.9 3.5 1.7 0.4 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.3 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 4.7 2.5 0.7 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.0 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.1 0.4 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.2 4.6 6.0 7.3 9.0 9.9 10.2 10.5 9.6 8.4 6.6 4.9 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
18-2 97.4% 1.6    1.5 0.2
17-3 86.2% 2.7    2.1 0.6 0.0
16-4 63.9% 3.1    1.8 1.1 0.2 0.0
15-5 32.5% 2.2    0.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 11.6% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 7.3 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 80.0% 62.2% 17.8% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47.1%
19-1 0.7% 57.8% 47.6% 10.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 19.6%
18-2 1.7% 49.8% 46.9% 2.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 5.5%
17-3 3.1% 39.8% 38.5% 1.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 2.1%
16-4 4.9% 32.4% 32.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 0.3%
15-5 6.6% 27.4% 27.3% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 0.2%
14-6 8.4% 18.7% 18.7% 14.0 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 6.9
13-7 9.6% 12.0% 12.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 8.5
12-8 10.5% 6.9% 6.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.7
11-9 10.2% 3.0% 3.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.9
10-10 9.9% 1.3% 1.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.8
9-11 9.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.9
8-12 7.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
7-13 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
6-14 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 2.1% 2.1
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.0% 9.8% 0.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.5 2.9 2.9 1.7 0.4 90.0 0.2%